As always, this year’s Outlook & Forecasts for the next twelve months
are created applying the Elliott Wave Principle for the assessment of
pattern and price amplitude, also Cycle Analysis for the timing of the
larger trend reversals. Not always do they jive, but they seldom contradict
and more often, provide valuable insights into one or two variations of a
similar theme within a seemingly unlimited amount of possibilities.
Even though this report outlines the price expectancy of all asset classes
for 2012 it will also illustrate how this coming year fits together into the
larger picture. The reasoning behind this is to move away from the 'black-box'
stereotype and show you why the results relate to their specific outcome.
Overall, this report deals with two different time-periods – long-term and
inter-mediate term. Long-term refers to the uptrends from the Great Depression
of 1932 onwards and inter-mediate term for the coming year and into 2013.
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What do you see when looking at an Elliott Wave chart? Just lots of numbers &
letters overlaying the price data? – or do you see definable patterns that are
immediately familiar? And how do you interpret the results of the analysis and
put it into an effective trading plan? Read on and test your own knowledge of
these subjects and much more...
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Recent reports of a Commodity Super-Cycle grabbed my attention for two reasons – first,
this is diametrically different to the outlook I foresee developing during the next decade,
and second, this terminology has surfaced at a time when various commodities have already
undergone large percentage gains measured from the Feb.'09 lows
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The primary theme of this presentation focuses on a 'Deflationary' outlook,
forecast as the dominant aspect continuing during the next decade. This is
derived from analysing the Elliott Wave pattern structure of the CRB (Cash)
Index during its expansionary period of the last 76 years.
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The Update Alert! messaging service of EW-Forecasts Plus responded to the sharp collapse and
the following recovery of US stock indices during the volatile trading session on the 6th May.
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This analysis centres around the S&P 500 that is used as a proxy for other global indices. The great bull market beginning from the 1932 low ends 68 years later in 2000 - other global indices peaked later in 2007 (75yrs) – some still continuing to progress.
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